Cubicle Warrior’s UFC 200 Picks

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Miesha Tate (18-5) vs. Amanda Nunes (12-4)
Bantamweight championship
Odds: Tate -250; Nunes +210

Nunes can win this if she blitzes Tate early, before her lack of cardio does her in. Tate has survived the most famous blitzer in women’s MMA, Ronda Rousey. Tate will wait for Nunes to gas out and then tap her out in the 3rd or 4th round.

Mark Hunt (12-10-1) vs. Brock Lesnar (5-3)
Heavyweight
Odds: Hunt -170; Lesnar +150

One punch, or one takedown? My money is on Hunt KTFOing Lesnar back to the WWE ring. First round.

Daniel Cormier (17-1) vs. Anderson Silva (33-7)
Light heavyweight
Odds: Cormier -410; Silva +315

Former steroid user Silva is stepping in for current steroid user Jones, and he is doing this only months after gall bladder removal and zero fight preparation. I expect DC to dominate early and often. Silva will get taken down time and time again until DC takes out his Jon Jones frustration on Silva’s face. TKO in round 2.

Jose Aldo (25-2) vs. Frankie Edgar (20-4-1)
Interim featherweight championship
Odds: Edgar -115; Aldo -105

McGregor exposed Aldo’s weak chin. Edgar is as tough as they come, so I expect a five-round decision in favor of Edgar after he drops Aldo a couple times.

Cain Velasquez (13-2) vs. Travis Browne (18-3-1)
Heavyweight
Odds: Velasquez -290; Browne +245

Velasquez will get back to his winning ways with a decision over Browne. Note that Velasquez has not gone to a decision since 2012 (avenging a loss to Junior Dos Santos), and has been 4-1 since then with all victories by TKO.

Cat Zingano (9-1) vs. Julianna Pena (7-2)
Bantamweight
Odds: Zingano -165; Pena +145

I am a big fan of Zingano, and she is more battle tested than Pena. Zingano has KO’d both of the headline fighters on this card, and has submitted the rest of the top female fighters in the UFC. I call this a submission win for Zingano.

Johny Hendricks (17-4) vs. Kelvin Gastelum (11-2)
Welterweight
Odds: Hendricks -120; Gastelum +100

Big Rig needs to get back in the win column, but he picked the wrong opponent to do so. If Big Rig does not alter his attacks, this will be a boring fight that will go to a decision. Big Rig has bad luck in decisions, so he needs to KO Gastelum or let Gastelum walk away with a decision win.

TJ Dillashaw (12-3) vs. Raphael Assuncao (23-4)
Bantamweight
Odds: Dillashaw -410; Assuncao +330

Dillashaw thinks he was robbed in a decision loss to Dominick Cruz. I think he will bounce back with a signature finish in the 1st or 2nd round against the overrated Assuncao.

Sage Northcutt (7-1) vs. Enrique Marin (8-3)
Lightweight
Odds: Northcutt -335; Marin +275

Northcutt is using his strep throat as an excuse for his loss earlier in the year. He may need to prepare another excuse if he has not improved his grappling game. Marin is not a threat to real MMA fighters, but he will be a threat to an underwear model with no ground game. Northcutt will win by decision if he can play keep-away.

Gegard Mousasi (38-6-2) vs. Thiago Santos (13-3)
Middleweight
Odds: Mousasi -265; Santos +225

Santos goes all out in his fights. Mousasis is hit or miss. If Mousasis can survive the hard hitting Santos early, he will pull out a decision win.

Joe Lauzon (25-11) vs. Diego Sanchez (26-8)
Lightweight
Odds: Lauzon -115; Sanchez -105

Sanchez used to be one of my favorite fighters, but he has become slow and boring in later fights. Expect Lauzon to add Sanchez’s head to his list of head kick KOs.

Takanori Gomi (35-11) vs. Jim Miller (25-8)
Lightweight
Odds: Miller -250; Gomi +210

Both fighters are in jeopardy of being cut in the UFC Hunger Games due to losing streaks. May the odds be ever in your favor!

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