Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl – #19 Florida vs #14 Michigan

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Date and time: Friday, Jan. 1, 1 p.m.
TV channel: ABC
Location: Orlando, Fla.
Stadium: Orlando Citrus Bowl Stadium, 65,000
Teams: #14 Michigan (visitor), #19 Florida (home)
Last year’s score: Missouri 33, Minnesota 17
Expected attendance: 48,500
Expected payout for each school: $4.25 million
Last head-to-head result: 2007 – Michigan 41, #12 Florida 35
All-time head-to-head wins: Michigan 2, Florida 0

Michigan (9-3, 6-2 Big Ten)

  • Head coach: Jim Harbaugh, 1st year
  • Last bowl game: 2013 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, 14-31 loss to Kansas State
  • All-time bowl record: 20-23
  • Key losses: #21 Utah, #5 Michigan State, #6 Ohio State
  • Key victories: #14 Northwestern

Florida (10-3, 7-1 SEC)

  • Head coach: Jim McElwain, 1st year
  • Last bowl game: 2014 Birmingham Bowl, 28-20 East Carolina
  • All-time bowl record: 21-20
  • Key losses: #23 LSU, #10 FSU, #2 Alabama
  • Key victories: #16 Ole Miss

Head-to-Head Statistics (advantage)(Florida stats – Michigan stats)

  • Scoring margin (Michigan) +7.92 pts (#44) – +13.42 pts (#24)
  • Total offense (Michigan) 338.69 yds (#109) – 387.00 yds (#71)
  • Total defense (Michigan) 295.38 yds (#6) – 281.33 yds (#4)
  • Turnover margin (Florida) +0.77 (#17) – -.50 (#104)
  • Yards per play (Michigan) 5.05 (#108) – 5.57 (#68)
  • Opponent yards per play (Michigan) 4.48 (#8) – 4.22 (#3)
  • Yards per pass attempt (Michigan) 7.22 (#63) – 7.32 (#55)
  • Opponent pass yards per attempt (Michigan) 5.77 (#10) – 5.35 (#1)
  • Rushing yards per attempt (Michigan) 3.44 (#120) – 4.12 (#86)
  • Opponent yards per rushing attempt (Florida) 3.39 (#12) – 3.59 (#25)
  • Opponent win percentage normalized against SOS (Michigan) 52.96% (#30) – 55.54% (#12)
  • Probability of win (Michigan) 41.10% – 58.90%

The Gators certainly have a lot of issues heading into the end of 2015 with lack of depth and play-making ability on the offensive line, at quarterback, and at kicker. The stats heavily favor the Michigan Wolverines heading into the bowl game, but the Gators expect a good bowl game in Jim McElwain’s first year as head coach. This will be a preview of the 2017 season opener in the Cowboys Classic at the AT&T Center.

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